Nate Silver on Special Interest Money and the Public Option

Submitted by Monica Rober on Mon, 06/22/2009 - 12:53pm.
Nate Silver from FiveThirtyEight.com has written an interesting statistical analysis of money in politics as it relates to the current debate on health care reform and the popular public option.
"What happens if we set the lobbying variable to zero for all senators? That is, suppose that the health care insurance industry were prohibited from making political contributions? In that case, the model predicts, 47 senators would currently support the public option, as opposed to the 38 who actually do. In other words, the insurance industry's influence appears to swing about 9 votes against the public option. Whatever number of senators wind up supporting the public option, add 9 to it, and you'll have a decent ballpark estimate for what the level of support might be if not for insurance industry contributions."

"...To be clear, not all of the opposition to the public option is the result of special interest money. Most Republicans probably oppose it on general principle, and there are a couple of Democrats, like Maria Cantwell of Washington, who have yet to come around to it even though they've taken almost nothing (in Cantwell's case, literally nothing) from the insurance industry. But the money is why, even with 59-60 votes in the Senate and a President with high approval ratings, Democrats are facing an uphill battle on the issue."
35 comments
. . . . .

The loan are very useful for people, which are willing to organize their company. In fact, that is not really hard to receive a sba loan.


Submitted by RachelCONRAD (not verified) on Tue, 08/17/2010 - 11:51pm.

February 2009
The cedar ji - based designer junction holds novelty shop DecadesTwo `.`.
New York which retains in ..


Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Tue, 05/18/2010 - 4:45am.

Your posting is very good and theme base for which it is liking to every people. Thanks a lot!!!
distance learning online | accredited diploma | prior learning


Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Thu, 04/15/2010 - 1:48am.

I got the notification in the mail and am very much interested in being a part of this initiative!The issue of poverty speaks to my heart. Many of society's ills can be traced to this root. doctorate degree | online diploma


Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Thu, 05/13/2010 - 4:40am.

Our online shop are offering designer gucci handbags and other designer handbags, No matter what you want, you will have all the information about the product details and prices, we only sell top quality gucci handbags with cheap prices and reliable services.
online schools | degree


Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Mon, 05/03/2010 - 2:52am.

For example, Nike's best-selling running shoes Pegasus, the 25 year anniversary of the introduction of shoes puma future cat and become the use of environmentally friendly Nike Considered air jordan shoesthe first concept design of top running shoes. puma shoes international accreditation | Degree Program Accreditation | University Accreditation


Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Thu, 04/29/2010 - 4:34am.
Submitted by kevin smith (not verified) on Wed, 04/07/2010 - 4:35am.

Snehashis is a Researcher in Centre for Development Finance, IFMR Research. He has an MBA (Post Graduate Diploma in Forestry Management) with Environmental Management major and Development Management minor from Indian Institute of Forest Management, Bhopal and an M.Sc. with Analytical Chemistry major from Jadavpur University, Kolkata. art degree | online fire school


Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Wed, 04/07/2010 - 4:22am.

Thanks for sharing this.
animated logo | label design


Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Wed, 04/28/2010 - 2:27am.

I think it's curious, because it betray a very academic-focussed attitude. Preserving the honesty of the academic system seems to be a crash project, although candidly declare illegal paid ads for such a service seems a flaccid response. When the enterprise is known by your friends who were brightened up with the results of the alliance, about this good topic . But remember always to use plagiarism detector run them through this plagiarism detection system for absolute checking and make sure that your material is authentic.


Submitted by LINASHELTON20 (not verified) on Fri, 04/02/2010 - 8:16am.

Several days ago I downloaded the latest ringtones in the ringtones service and was completely satisfied.


Submitted by Christy19Green (not verified) on Sat, 03/27/2010 - 3:47am.

Thanks for sharing this.
essay help | personal statement


Submitted by marklesner (not verified) on Fri, 04/02/2010 - 3:13am.

Thank you, it's very inspiring description about this post it might be very kind for students.
Recently i needed resume. To my awesome surprise, resume was divine the price I paid for it.


Submitted by AVAAguirre19 (not verified) on Fri, 03/26/2010 - 12:00pm.

Good afternoon. Intimacy is being seen and known as the person you truly are. Help me! It has to find sites on the: Hair treatment for men. I found only this - herbal hair treatment. Hair treatment, one score of the loss gives with ideal dermatologists to treat effects. For those who have no development to know, there is even the paddle of natural mosaic and genitals shaft, hair treatment. Best regards :-(, Zaki from Cuba.


Submitted by Zaki (not verified) on Tue, 03/23/2010 - 8:20pm.

I have received my research papers from essays online on Tuesday and I’m for certain blessed with the superiority of the essay papers and the hurried of delivery. Just want to say so.


Submitted by DODSONHazel23 (not verified) on Sat, 03/13/2010 - 4:56am.

Right. I adore the exposition drafted in view of this. A schoolfellow announce me your site, ever since my first visit, I have been devoted. Don't consume your life in questions and despair, just order persuasive term papers. Keep the articles getting near!


Submitted by AlmaHUGHES25 (not verified) on Wed, 03/03/2010 - 8:35pm.

Hi. I know that you believe that you understood what you think I said, but I am not sure you realize that what you heard is not what I meant. Help me! It has to find sites on the: Jumbo mortgage refinance rates. I found only this - interest mortgage only refinance. Refinance mortgage, but the more commodity you were the several people, the best are your consumers and expenditures. Only with the productivity of a due interest company statement, it can rapidly pose yet to historically brokering a group woodland, back evaluate nearly merge a unable money, refinance mortgage. Thank you very much :confused:. Manning from Malta.


Submitted by Manning (not verified) on Fri, 02/26/2010 - 4:20pm.

To be successful means to reach the high grades and for that, students need to show the high quality papers for sale. But is it real to write it not taking a support of the news writing service? Sure, that’s doable, but that will be easier to buy essay reffering to this topic online.


Submitted by ELISABETTA30Eq (not verified) on Wed, 02/17/2010 - 12:14am.

When people buy custom essay papers and purchase essay for sale about this post, that would be avaliable to get good quality.


Submitted by Kristin19pW (not verified) on Tue, 02/16/2010 - 9:28pm.

Different people do not really know how to write the ancient essay. Thus, at the moment they are able to come along your great data about this topic and just create the most perfect college essays of all time.


Submitted by NUEmily (not verified) on Sun, 02/14/2010 - 7:05pm.

You are manifestly, a real master of thesis pdf just about this good post composing but if you want to choose the thesis, I will suggest you to detect a professional item.


Submitted by Lindayd (not verified) on Fri, 02/12/2010 - 4:32pm.

Very often, people, which require the custom paper writing, do not actually know the proper way to get that. But it will be possible to buy custom essay papers at the perfect essay writing service. It’s a common thing for some people.


Submitted by Amy29 (not verified) on Sun, 01/31/2010 - 9:24am.

You seem to be really professional and your tought related to this good post is great. Would you continue your work? We would buy some dissertation idea and just thesis from you.


Submitted by Jeniffer23IC (not verified) on Mon, 01/25/2010 - 10:03pm.

nbvc This article is very interesting. Thank you very much for sharing .
SWF Video Converter


Submitted by fdooeld (not verified) on Sat, 12/26/2009 - 2:00am.

Concerns about rising health care costs and insurance coverage are among the biggest concern of the United States. There's a lot of talk about health care reform, and the industry does need it, especially since so many people that are only after the most basic of care have to get emergency cash loans to cover something as simple as a simple antibiotics script, and a full third of the nation is without health insurance.
USB Rechargeable AA | Engraved Wedding Gifts | Celebrity Parties


Submitted by Tom (not verified) on Thu, 11/05/2009 - 9:53am.
Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Wed, 10/14/2009 - 12:02am.

Well, even if it's something simple like reading or even that you exercise at all.


Submitted by nike shoes (not verified) on Tue, 10/13/2009 - 11:52pm.
Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Tue, 10/13/2009 - 7:38pm.
Submitted by Clean Elections Friend (not verified) on Wed, 10/07/2009 - 8:57pm.

There's a lot of talk about health care reform, and the industry does need it
windows registry fix


Submitted by registrycleaner (not verified) on Sat, 08/29/2009 - 1:08am.

Excuse me. Hello, it is very shit guestbook. Help me! I can not find sites on the: Msn free e cards. I found only this - worldwide calling card. Malaysia islamic finance sector made more than. Gross external debt position are presented in three tables showing the gross level of external debt table a its currency composition. THX :rolleyes:, Ace from Bangladesh.


Submitted by Ace (not verified) on Fri, 07/24/2009 - 9:46am.

Concerns about rising health care costs and insurance coverage are among the biggest concern of the United States. There's a lot of talk about health care reform, and the industry does need it, especially since so many people that are only after the most basic of care have to get emergency cash loans to cover something as simple as a simple antibiotics script, and a full third of the nation is without health insurance. The lead researcher for the Dartmouth Atlas of Health Care, Elliot Fisher, a practitioner for over 20 years, has pointed out that areas that spend more on health care interestingly spend more on unnecessary procedures, and have higher mortality rates. So why do we need payday cash advances for health care that is worse when more expensive?


Submitted by Oprah W (not verified) on Tue, 07/07/2009 - 4:45am.

So the doctor checkedchecked, checked, listened, listened and said, "Oh, you know your ear trouble is an old age problem? Your ear is getting old,runescape gold that's all.That's why you can't hear. So the patient said, "Nonsense, the left ear is just as old.


Submitted by runescape money (not verified) on Fri, 06/26/2009 - 4:02am.

Would you please provide a URL for this quote so I can send it to friends, or at least WSJ publication date, article title
"If you like to see the strong slap around the weak -- and deep down, you know you do -- this was the sports weekend for you." - WSJ


Submitted by buy ugg boots (not verified) on Tue, 06/23/2009 - 8:14pm.

Well, even if it's something simple like reading or even that you exercise at all. even if you don't even have anything simple to put, you must be interested in SOMETHING. everyone is! and NO, the one thing you must NOT do is lie, because you can get into bad situations from that- must i elaborate

Best amusement parks


Submitted by Children safety (not verified) on Mon, 06/22/2009 - 3:08pm.

Post new comment

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <code> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd><p><br /> <i> <b> <img>
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.
  • Images can be added to this post.
  • Relative links are made to be relative to the drupal root directory.
More information about formatting options